Alex Perez vs Charles Johnson UFC 324 Prediction - 1/24/2026
Updated July 9, 2026
The flyweight matchup between Alex Perez and Charles Johnson at UFC 324 this Saturday is shaping up to be one of the more intriguing prelim fights on a loaded card at T‑Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. Perez enters this bout in the midst of the worst run of his professional MMA career. Johnson, meanwhile, has built some momentum and will try to keep his hot streak going with a victory. Before this all-American matchup at UFC 324, keep reading for my Alex Perez vs Charles Johnson prediction.
Pick: | Johnson ML ATS PRO |
Confidence: | 3/5 |
Alex Perez | Charles Johnson | |
|---|---|---|
Age | 33 | 35 |
Height | 5’6” | 5’9” |
Reach | 65.5" | 70" |
Stance | Orthodox | Switch |
Record | 25‑10‑0 | 18‑7‑0 |
Alex Perez’s career in the UFC flyweight division has been long and at times successful, but his recent trajectory is of the downward variety. Perez has a professional record of 25‑10‑0 with a mix of stoppage and submission wins, but he has lost five of his last six fights dating back to 2020. His style blends forward pressure with grappling and leg kicks, and he has the ability to mix wrestling with striking when at his best. Perez has wrestled with injuries and layoffs recently, contributing to a less steady in‑cage rhythm than in earlier phases of his career. Though dangerous in range and capable of catching fighters off guard with submissions or sudden power, Perez’s last couple of performances raise questions about his ability to sustain output for a full fight against an active opponent.
Charles Johnson arrives at UFC 324 with five wins in his last six fights. Johnson’s record of 18‑7‑0 includes a knockout victory in his last fight, reaffirming his striking capability. Johnson’s strengths lie in high-volume striking, effective jab and kick combinations, and the ability to maintain distance and pace through stance switching and lateral movement. His takedown defense has been solid in recent bouts, allowing him to keep the fight standing where he can pepper opponents with a high rate of strikes. That technical striking edge combined with good cardio gives Johnson a toolset to win fights in a number of ways.
In stylistic terms, this matchup pits Perez’s grappling and pressure against Johnson’s pace and striking. If Perez is able to close the distance early and force grappling exchanges, he can disrupt Johnson’s rhythm and neutralize his range advantage. However, sustaining consistent pressure against a switch‑stance striker with reach and lateral movement is an underappreciated challenge.
I am expecting Charles Johnson to get through Saturday's fight with a win over Alex Perez. Johnson's striking should continue to punish his opponents, while the struggles of Perez going into this fight suggest that his best days are well behind him. I'd lean toward this fight going to the judges, but I'm taking Johnson to win regardless of the method of victory.
Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.
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