Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors Prediction - 10/23/2025
Updated July 9, 2026
The Denver Nuggets and Golden State Warriors will play in the NBA on Thursday night. Golden State already has a win under its belt after winning on Tuesday. They will aim for a second win in a row to open the season against a Nuggets team searching for a significant road win in their opener. Before tip-off from the Bay Area, continue reading for my Nuggets vs Warriors prediction.
Spread | Moneyline | Total (O/U) |
|---|---|---|
GSW −1.5 | DEN +115 / GSW -135 | 232.5 points |
Denver enters this game with a fresh start in their first game of the season. Golden State is 1-0 after a 119-109 road win over the Los Angeles Lakers in their opener. The Nuggets added depth this offseason with acquisitions around star center Nikola Jokić. They brought in Cam Johnson, Tim Hardaway Jr., and Jonas Valanciunas to try and go further than the second round of the playoffs this year.
The Warriors are still anchored by Stephen Curry and the rest of their veteran core. They began the year strongly, with Jimmy Butler recording 31 points in the opener and Golden State getting a win despite Luka Doncic scoring 43 points against them. Golden State will be without Moses Moody and De'Anthony Melton for this contest as they look to improve to 2-0 on the young season.
Player | Prop |
|---|---|
Nikola Jokić | Over 29.5 points |
Jamal Murray | Under 21.5 points |
Cameron Johnson | Under 15.5 points |
Score Projection: Denver Nuggets 108 – Golden State Warriors 113
Win Probability: Denver 42%, Golden State 58%
The Nuggets have made it clear that they do not want to waste another year of Nikola Jokic's prime with a team that isn't a serious contender. Adding several key depth pieces to join Jokic and Jamal Murray is a clear statement of intent for this organization. But I think they get off to a rocky start to this season against the Warriors on Thursday night.
Golden State has one of the best home-court advantages in the NBA and they also have a more consistent presence than Denver on the defensive end of the floor. Jokic will likely put up some impressive numbers against the smaller Warriors frontcourt. But the Dubs have the advantage just about everywhere else. I'll take the Warriors to win and cover the spread as a slight favorite at home here, as they should improve to 2-0 early in the NBA season.
Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.
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