Chicago Blackhawks vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction - 10/23/2025
Updated July 9, 2026
The Chicago Blackhawks and Tampa Bay Lightning will meet in the NHL on Thursday night in Tampa. Tampa comes into this game as one of the heaviest favorites on the board in the NHL on Thursday. But they are mired in a long losing streak and will try to end it against Chicago. Before this game begins from Florida, continue reading to get my Blackhawks vs Lightning prediction.
Chicago enters at 3-2-2 and has looked reasonably sharp so far this season. They are averaging 3.14 goals per game on 24.4 shots, while holding opponents to 2.43 goals per game. Their most recent win came in a 2-1 overtime game against Anaheim.
Tampa Bay is 1-3-2, with four losses in their last five contests and three losses in a row. They are giving up 3.5 goals per game while averaging 2.67 goals per game offensively. The Lightning are coming off a four-game road trip and will hope that home ice can help them turn things around.
Tampa Bay’s long-time starter Andrei Vasilevskiy has a perfect 13-0 record against Chicago with a .930 save percentage. But he is 0-2-2 this season with a 3.50 GAA. Chicago’s Spencer Knight has a .937 save percentage a 1.96 GAA. Knight has been the better goaltender lately and will try to continue that in this game.
Chicago's emerging star has been Frank Nazar. He leads the club in points with seven (3 goals, 4 assists) and is off to a strong start. Connor Bedard has also contributed with a team-high five assists. Tampa Bay forwards like Jake Guentzel (6 points) and Anthony Cirelli (3 goals) must carry the offensive load if they are going to end their losing streak.
Player | Prop |
|---|---|
Frank Nazar (CHI) | Over 1.5 Points |
Connor Bedard (CHI) | Over 1.5 Points |
Jake Guentzel (TBL) | Over 1.5 Points |
Score Projection: Tampa Bay 4 – Chicago 3
Win Probability: Chicago 30%, Tampa Bay 70%
Tampa Bay should get a win on Thursday night to end its losing streak. But I think that the Chicago Blackhawks will cover the puckline as an underdog here. The Blackhawks have been playing some legitimately good hockey of late and that should continue in this game. Give me Chicago to keep this game within a goal or to win it outright on the road.
Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.
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