Indiana Pacers vs Phoenix Suns Prediction - 11/13/2025
Updated July 9, 2026
The Indiana Pacers will face the Phoenix Suns on Thursday night in the NBA. The Suns are looking to build on a recent hot streak and Indiana is attempting to climb out of an early-season hole. Both teams have injury and rest considerations to deal with going into this matchup. I will break it all down for you right here and give you my Pacers vs Suns prediction before tip-off in The Valley.
Pick: Suns -4.5
Confidence: 3/5
The biggest storyline entering this game is Indiana’s lengthy injury list. The Pacers are without Tyrese Haliburton (Achilles), Obi Toppin (foot), Bennedict Mathurin (toe), Kam Jones (back), and Quenton Jackson (hamstring). That leaves Pascal Siakam and Andrew Nembhard as the primary offensive engines for Indiana. That clearly has not gone well for them, as they are 1-10 for the season and 0-6 on the road.
Phoenix's Jalen Green remains sidelined with a hamstring issue, but Devin Booker has carried the load effectively of late. The Suns have won four straight games, ranking top five in both offensive and defensive efficiency during that stretch. A lot of that has to do with the quality of opponents they have played during their winning streak. But the Suns are facing another bad team in the Pacers here and will try to make the most of that.
Indiana enters this contest off a brutal defensive performance, allowing 152 points in a blowout loss to Utah. Their defensive rating ranks near the bottom of the league and they have struggled particularly against teams with elite scoring wings. That is an issue that could again surface against Booker.
Phoenix comes into this game on the second leg of a back-to-back after defeating the Dallas Mavericks on the road last night. Short rest is always a concern when teams are on back-to-backs in the NBA. But I'm not sure the Suns could have asked for a better opponent to face on short rest than this one.
Player | Prop |
|---|---|
Devin Booker (Suns) | Over 28.5 Points |
Pascal Siakam (Pacers) | Over 25.5 Points |
Andrew Nembhard (Pacers) | Under 17.5 Points |
Score Projection: Indiana Pacers 102 – Phoenix Suns 115
Win Probability: Pacers 23% | Suns 77%
The only concern I have about the Suns in this spot is the fact that they are playing on the second game of a back-to-back. But even with that in mind, the Suns should be able to take care of business against the Pacers here. Indiana just lacks the depth to play at a consistently high level right now and I think that will continue even if the Suns are running on tired legs.
Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.
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