Minnesota Timberwolves vs Sacramento Kings Prediction - 11/9/2025
Updated July 9, 2026
The Minnesota Timberwolves (5-4) will face the Sacramento Kings (3-6) on Sunday night in the final game on the NBA schedule for the day. Minnesota enters off a resounding 137-97 blowout win over the Utah Jazz on Friday. Sacramento is coming off a blowout loss to the Oklahoma City Thunder. Who will win this important matchup in the Western Conference? Keep reading to get my Timberwolves vs Kings prediction to find out what my model has to say.
Pick: Sacramento Kings +5.5
Confidence: ★★★☆☆
Minnesota enters this contest fresh off a 40-point win over the Utah Jazz on Friday. Star guard Anthony Edwards erupted for 37 points and forward Julius Randle contributed 19 points, 10 rebounds, and 12 assists in the win. Randle is averaging 25.9 points, 7.2 rebounds, and 6.3 assists per game this season. He has been a stabilizing force for the Wolves with Edwards in and out of the lineup due to injuries.
Sacramento continues to limp through a rough start at 3-6 and is dealing with two important injuries. Forward Keegan Murray is out with a thumb injury and center Domantas Sabonis is questionable with a ribcage contusion. The Kings are averaging just 115.1 points per game while allowing 121.7 points per game. Their rebounding is especially poor, at only 39.7 boards per game, with Sabonis being their only consistent rebounder right now.
Player | Prop |
|---|---|
Anthony Edwards | Over 28.5 points |
Julius Randle | Over 6.5 assists |
Zach LaVine | Over 21.5 points |
Score Projection: Timberwolves 120 – Kings 117
Win Probability: Timberwolves 60%, Kings 40%
I'm going to take the points with the Sacramento Kings in this matchup. Sacramento should have Sabonis available for this game despite his injury situation. That should help the Kings to stay attached at home in this matchup from Golden 1 Center in a game between teams looking to climb the standings in the Western Conference.
Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.
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