Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers Prediction & Preview - 1/4/2026
Updated July 9, 2026
The AFC North title is on the line in Week 18 of the NFL season when the Pittsburgh Steelers host the Baltimore Ravens. Baltimore kept its division title hopes alive with a win in Week 17, while the Steelers left the door open for Baltimore by losing to Cleveland in their last outing. The winner of this game will be the fourth seed in the AFC, while the loser is eliminated from playoff contention. Before kickoff from Pittsburgh, you'll find my Ravens vs Steelers prediction below.
Pick: | Ravens -3 |
Confidence: | 3/5 |
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The most important storyline going into this game is that it is a winner-take-all game for the AFC North title and for the last available playoff spot in the AFC. The winner of this game will host a first-round playoff game, despite the fact that their record is inferior to all of the Wild Card teams in their conference. That could serve as a springboard to the Super Bowl if the winner of this game can peak in the postseason.
The health of key players on both sides is also something worth keeping an eye on leading up to this game. Lamar Jackson has missed some recent games due to injury, while Steelers star pass rusher TJ Watt has been dealing with a chest ailment. If either of them can return to the field, that would give their team a huge leg up going into the most important game of the season for both teams.
Both of these teams have a ton of experience in big game situations. The question will be which team can use that experience to make the winning plays needed in this particular big game. Pittsburgh defeated Baltimore in the first matchup between these teams this year, but there's no telling how this Week 18 contest will unfold.
The quarterback situation is still up in the air for the Ravens going into Week 18. Lamar Jackson missed last week's win against the Green Bay Packers with a back injury. Tyler Huntley replaced Jackson and perfectly executed the strategy of handing the ball off to Derrick Henry, who rushed for four touchdowns. But the Ravens would prefer to have Jackson under center this week.
Aaron Rodgers struggled in Week 17 for the Steelers, failing to lead his team into the end zone in a 13-6 loss to the Cleveland Browns. The pressure is on Rodgers to deliver in this game. And while he has a long history of delivering in pressure-packed moments, he is well past his prime and could fail to do the same in this spot.
Score Projection: Ravens 27, Steelers 21
Win Probability: Ravens 55%, Steelers 45%
Bettors may want to wait on the health status of some of the key players on both sides of this matchup before locking in any bets. But I think that the Ravens have the inside track to win the AFC North by winning this game on the road. I'll lay the points with Baltimore, with the expectation that Jackson returns and makes his presence felt.
Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.
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