Chicago Bears vs Minnesota Vikings Prediction - 11/16/2025
Updated July 9, 2026
The Chicago Bears and the Minnesota Vikings will play in Week 11 of the NFL season on Sunday. The Bears (6-3) are tied for first place in the NFC North. They will try to help themselves try to grab sole possession of first place with a win over the Vikings (4-5) at U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis. Here, I have given you my analysis of this NFC North matchup, including my Bears vs Vikings prediction.
Bears signal-caller Caleb Williams has shown significant improvement this year. He has thrown for over 2,100 yards in 2025 with 13 touchdowns and just 4 interceptions. His late-game composure and ability to protect the football have made Chicago’s offense more trustworthy.
Vikings starter J.J. McCarthy has returned from injury but remains inconsistent. He is clearly still trying to find a rhythm early in his pro career and after being derailed by multiple injuries. But Justin Jefferson has just two touchdowns this year and has cleared 81 receiving yards only twice. The quarterback situation in Minnesota has made it hard for Jefferson to play up to his considerable talent level.
Score Projection: Chicago Bears 24 – Minnesota Vikings 27
Win Probability: Bears 45%, Vikings 55%
I think that the Vikings are better than their record at this point in time. Minnesota finally has its starting quarterback on the field and they are playing a defense that isn't elite for the first time since McCarthy's return. I'm going to lay the points with Minnesota here, as they should get back to .500 with a win over a team they have owned in recent years.
Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.
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