Cleveland Browns vs New England Patriots Prediction - 10/26/2025
Updated July 9, 2026
The Cleveland Browns and New England Patriots will meet in Week 8 of the NFL season on Sunday. Both teams got a win last week and the Patriots are quickly becoming one of the best stories in the NFL this season. Can New England continue their winning ways at home? Continue reading to get my Browns vs Patriots prediction for this AFC matchup.
Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|
Patriots −7 | Patriots −380 / Browns +290 | Over/Under 40.5 |
Cleveland starter Dillon Gabriel has thrown for 546 yards, three touchdowns, and no interceptions. His completion rate and lack of big plays through the air leave something to be desired for the Browns. They will likely lean on Judkins and the running game to try and cover up Gabriel's shortcomings.
Maye has thrown for 1,744 yards, 12 touchdowns, and two interceptions. Stefon Diggs has 456 receiving yards this year and he is developing a strong partnership with Maye. New England will be expected to win this game as long as Maye doesn't let the pressure from the Browns' defensive front hurry him up and let that turn into bad decisions.
Score Projection: Patriots 24 – Browns 14
Win Probability: Patriots 68%, Browns 32%
I don't love the idea of laying that many points with the Patriots, even if I do expect them to win convincingly in Week 8. Instead, I think that the under is the better wager for this game. New England's offense should regress somewhat against the Browns' stingy defense, while the offense of the Browns continues to sputter with Gabriel under center.
Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.
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