Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears Wild Card Prediction & Odds - 1/10/2026
Updated July 9, 2026
The Green Bay Packers and Chicago Bears are set to renew one of the NFL’s oldest rivalries in the NFC Wild Card round after both teams finished in the top two in the NFC North. Chicago finished the year as the NFC North champion and will host the game, while the Packers secured the seventh seed despite a late-season losing streak. Before kickoff from Soldier Field, continue reading to get my analysis and my Packers vs Bears prediction.
Pick: | Bears Moneyline |
Confidence: | 4/5 |
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Odds | Line |
|---|---|
Spread | Packers -1.5 |
Moneyline | Packers -115 / Bears -105 |
Total | 47.5 points |
The Bears enter the Wild Card round as the NFC North champions with an 11-6 record and the second seed in the NFC. Their quarterback, Caleb Williams, has been a breakthrough performer this season, rewriting Chicago’s single-season passing records and leading a balanced offensive attack. The Bears lost their first game against the Packers this season at Lambeau Field, but mounted a late comeback to even the season series with a win at home. The rubber match will determine if the most successful season in a long time in Chicago will continue.
On the other side, the Packers have clinched a playoff spot despite finishing 9-7-1 and losing each of their final four outings. They won’t have home-field advantage but they do have more recent playoff experience than the Bears, which could help them offset playing in the Windy City. Green Bay probably should have swept their season series with the Bears, and another fast start could help them grab a second win out of three matchups with their heated rivals.
Chicago’s Caleb Williams has emerged as one of the NFC’s most dynamic young quarterbacks, surpassing the franchise’s single-season passing record and leading the Bears to double-digit wins. His ability to make plays with his arm and legs adds a layer of unpredictability to Chicago’s offense that they will try to use to their advantage on Wild Card Weekend.
For Green Bay, Jordan Love’s status in the playoffs is a central discussion point after the team closed the season with backups and rested starters. When Love plays at full health, his decision-making and connection with key playmakers can flip the efficiency in Green Bay’s favor. The Packers’ late-season struggles without top players like Micah Parsons and Love could cost them dearly if Love isn't at 100% for this contest.
Score Projection: Chicago Bears 24 – Green Bay Packers 21
Win Probability: Bears 53%, Packers 47%
This is going to be a highly entertaining matchup between division rivals with everything on the line. I'm leaning toward the Bears in what is close to a pick 'em game, as Chicago was an impressive 6-2 against the spread and proved time and time again that they can come back from adversity. Their mental toughness will help them advance past a banged-up Jordan Love and the Pack.
Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.
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