Minnesota Vikings vs New York Giants Pick & Preview - 12/21/2025
Updated July 9, 2026
The Minnesota Vikings head into Week 16 as modest favorites over the New York Giants in a Sunday afternoon matchup at MetLife Stadium. The Vikings have won two straight and hope to close the season positively despite being eliminated from playoff contention, while the Giants are mired in an extended losing streak and are trying to end this year with a less embarrassing record. Here, I break down this matchup in the NFC and give you my Vikings vs Giants prediction from the Meadowlands.
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The Vikings (6-8) have found a measure of late-season success after struggling through the middle portion of their schedule. They most recently earned a 34-26 win over the Dallas Cowboys on Sunday Night Football in Week 15. They defeated the Washington Commanders in the game before that and will try to earn a third consecutive win over an NFC East opponent by beating the Giants. Despite being eliminated from postseason consideration, Minnesota’s effort to finish strong could pay dividends for bettors who back them.
On the other side, the Giants (2-12) are seeking just a third win this season and are facing an uphill climb after an eight-game losing streak. Both of the Giants' wins this season have come on their home turf and they will try to take advantage of being at home here. But for that to happen, the Giants have to be better on defense after allowing over 25 points in four straight games.
J.J. McCarthy’s 2025 campaign has been a mixed bag, but he has been decent over the last couple of weeks. Turnovers have been a problem for McCarthy, as he enters this week with 11 touchdowns and 11 interceptions. Protecting the football and his body are his biggest challenges on a weekly basis for the Vikings.
Jaxson Dart of the Giants has thrown for over 1,800 yards with 13 touchdowns and 4 interceptions and has been respectable in his rookie campaign. But injuries around Dart and a lack of consistency in all three phases of the game have prevented him from winning many games in his first year as a pro.
Score Projection: Minnesota Vikings 24 – New York Giants 23
Win Probability: Vikings 62%, Giants 38%
The Giants are clearly not playing winning football of late. But I think that the Giants will cover the spread on their home turf here, whether that means they win outright as an underdog or they just keep things close enough in a loss. It's clear that the Giants aren't tanking despite their losing streak, as they are continuing to go with Dart at quarterback and they are at least attempting to build toward their future with Dart as the centerpiece.
Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.
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