Rhamondre Stevenson Super Bowl LX Player Prop Predictions


The New England Patriots are back in the Super Bowl and running back Rhamondre Stevenson is one of two running backs expected to play a huge role in the outcome of the game. Stevenson has helped the Patriots grind down the clock in their three playoff wins so far and a big game from him here could help the Patriots get back on top of the NFL mountain. Here, I look at the Rhamondre Stevenson player props that are up for grabs and give you my best bets in the prop markets for him.
Prop | Odds | |
|---|---|---|
49.5 Rushing Yards | Over (-110) | Under (-114) |
14.5 Rush Attempts | Over (-108) | Under (-118) |
23.5 Receiving Yards | Over (-108) | Under (-116) |
3.5 Receptions | Over (+130) | Under (-167) |
First TD Scorer | +800 | |
2+ TDs | +1000 | |
Anytime TD Scorer | +145 | |
Super Bowl MVP | +3000 |
My first selection in the world of Rhamondre Stevenson player props is for Stevenson to go over 49.5 rushing yards. Stevenson has gone over this total in each of the first three playoff games for the Patriots this postseason. He even managed to go over that number in the Wild Card round against the Chargers despite having just 10 carries in that game. Stevenson should make it four straight playoff games with over 50 yards on the ground for New England.
Going back to the end of the regular season, Stevenson has cleared this total in six of his last seven games. The only game he stayed under 50 rushing yards during that span came in a 42-10 win over the New York Jets, where the Patriots were able to take their foot off the gas way before the fourth quarter. As long as this game isn't a blowout, I expect another productive night from Stevenson.
However, I am going to take the under on Stevenson's rushing attempts, which is set at 14.5 carries. Stevenson has gone over this total in two straight playoff games for the Patriots. But one of those games saw some conditions that skewed his rushing numbers a bit, as he carried the ball 25 times against the Denver Broncos thanks to a snowstorm crippling the passing game of both teams in the second half.
Here, we are not expecting any snowstorms in Santa Clara to inflate Stevenson's rushing attempt totals. There is also some buzz surrounding TreVeyon Henderson going into this game, with some expectations for the backup running back for the Patriots to see an increased workload. If that plays out, we should see Stevenson run for a decent yardage total without needing to carry the ball over 15 times.
The running game should be a huge component of the Patriots' offense, especially early in this game. With Drake Maye making his Super Bowl debut, I'm expecting head coach Mike Vrabel and his offensive staff to try to ease their young quarterback into this moment by running the ball early on. They should open things up later in the game, keeping Stevenson under his rush attempts total, while not hurting his yardage numbers too badly.
Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.
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