TreVeyon Henderson Super Bowl LX Player Prop Predictions


TreVeyon Henderson is set to take the field in the backfield for the New England Patriots in Super Bowl LX. And while he is the backup to Rhamondre Stevenson at the running back position, he could see enough of the ball to make a difference for his team in the final game of the NFL season. Before Henderson and the Patriots take on the Seattle Seahawks, continue reading to find out which TreVeyon Henderson player props I recommend betting on in this contest.
Prop | Odds | |
|---|---|---|
18.5 Rushing Yards | Over (-112) | Under (-112) |
4.5 Rush Attempts | Over (-149) | Under (+116) |
3.5 Receiving Yards | Over (-120) | Under (-105) |
0.5 Receptions | Over (-190) | Under (+148) |
First TD Scorer | +2200 | |
2+ TDs | +5000 | |
Anytime TD Scorer | +475 | |
Super Bowl MVP | +12500 |
The first of my two TreVeyon Henderson player props for Super Bowl 60 is for Henderson to carry the ball over 4.5 times. Henderson is not the primary running back for the Patriots, with Rhamondre Stevenson doing the bulk of the rushing for Mike Vrabel's team. But I do think that Henderson is going to get at least five carries in this game to help him go over this total.
Henderson has gone over this total in two of New England's three playoff games. The only game that he didn't go over this total in was the AFC Championship Game against the Denver Broncos. In that game, the Patriots put the ball in Rhamondre Stevenson's hands early and often and kept the ball in Stevenson's hands during a snowstorm in the second half. Barring any weird weather in Santa Clara, we should see the Pats split their workload more evenly in the backfield.
In general, I think the Patriots will try to establish the run and keep the ball on the ground early in this game. Drake Maye is set to play in his first Super Bowl and the pressure of that stage should compel the Patriots to make life easy on Maye in the first quarter or two. A conservative game script and the desire to mix things up in the backfield should translate to at least five carries for the Patriots' backup running back.
Along those same lines, I am going to take Henderson to rush for over 18.5 yards in this matchup. Henderson has also cleared this total in two of his three postseason games with the Patriots this year. As long as he gets a decent workload out of the backfield, he should be able to go over this number in the Super Bowl against Seattle.
Henderson had more rushing yards than Rhamondre Stevenson this season, rushing for 911 yards, while Stevenson had 603 yards on fewer yards per carry. While Stevenson is back healthy and should see the bulk of the volume in this game, Henderson's yards per carry average should help him to amass at least 20 rushing yards in the biggest game of his career so far.
Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.
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