San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks Divisional Playoff Prediction & Odds - 1/17/2026
Updated July 9, 2026
The San Francisco 49ers will battle the Seattle Seahawks in the NFC Divisional Round on Saturday, with the Seahawks hosting the contest at Lumen Field. Seattle earned the top seed and home-field advantage throughout the NFC playoffs after a 14-3 regular season and a Week 18 win over San Francisco. The 49ers bounced back from that Week 18 loss and arrive off a gritty Wild Card victory over the defending champion Eagles. Who will win this NFC West rivalry game and earn a spot in the NFC Championship Game? Continue reading to get my 49ers vs Seahawks prediction for the Divisional playoffs.
Pick: | 49ers +7.5 |
Confidence: | 3/5 |
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Odds | Line |
|---|---|
Spread | Seahawks -7.5 |
Moneyline | Seahawks -340, 49ers +270 |
Total | About 45.5 |
Seattle earned the NFC’s top seed by winning 14 games and beating San Francisco 13-3 late in final week of the regular season to secure home-field advantage throughout the NFC playoffs. That victory was a product of Seattle’s stout defense and effective running game, with Zach Charbonnet’s touchdown and strong contributions from Kenneth Walker III leading the way. The Seahawks enter the Divisional round with confidence, buoyed by a 6-2 home record and a defense capable of limiting explosive offenses.
The 49ers arrive off a 23-19 road win against the Eagles in the Wild Card round, showcasing a ton of toughness in a close contest. Brock Purdy delivered key throws, and a creative trick play helped seal the victory. However, San Francisco suffered a significant blow with tight end George Kittle’s torn Achilles, which removes one of the team’s most dynamic offensive weapons from their playoff run. The 49ers also face travel and rest disadvantages here against a Seahawks team that earned a first-round bye.
Sam Darnold has managed Seattle’s offense effectively this season with 4,048 passing yards, 25 touchdowns, and 14 interceptions. The question for Darnold is whether he can deliver in the playoffs after struggling in big games time and time again in the past. Avoiding interceptions will be huge for his hopes of leading his team to a win here.
Brock Purdy has led San Francisco’s offense with efficiency and poise, distributing the ball to playmakers and minimizing mistakes. Purdy threw two interceptions against the Eagles in the Wild Card round, but he also came through when the Niners needed him the most and the Niners will trust that he can do it again in this matchup.
Score Projection: Seahawks 24 – 49ers 20
Win Probability: Seahawks 74%, 49ers 26%
I lean toward the Seahawks winning this contest to advance to the NFC Championship Game. But I'm going to take the points with the San Francisco 49ers here. The Niners could very well win this game outright, and getting over a touchdown against Sam Darnold in a playoff game is an alluring proposition as far as I'm concerned.
Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.
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