Washington Commanders vs Miami Dolphins Prediction - 11/16/2025
Updated July 9, 2026
The Washington Commanders and Miami Dolphins will play in Madrid this Sunday in a game that both teams could use. These teams are each sitting at 3-7 and running out of time to turn their respective seasons around. Miami is a slight favorite going into this game. Before the action begins at the Santiago Bernabeu Stadium, continue reading for my breakdown of the game, including my Commanders vs Dolphins prediction.
Tua Tagovailoa’s season has been inconsistent. He is completing 68.2% of his passes, averaging 195.2 passing yards per game, and has 17 touchdown passes. But he also has three interceptions and has to take better care of the football.
With Daniels out, the Commanders will deploy Mariota at quarterback. Washington has lost all but one of the games that Mariota has appeared in this season and they will need him to help elevate their passing game with Daniels out.
Score Projection: Commanders 23 – Dolphins 24
Win Probability: Commanders 42%, Dolphins 58%
If you can feel confident about either of these teams on a football field over the course of 60 minutes right now, you are a braver person than I am. I'll take the points with Washington here, as I feel as though the Bills beat themselves more than anything else last week in Miami. But I would keep any bets on this game as small as possible, as both of these teams are poor representatives of the NFL across the pond.
Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.
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