Air Force Falcons vs UConn Huskies Prediction - 11/15/2025
Updated July 9, 2026
Saturday’s showdown between the Air Force Falcons and UConn Huskies is an interesting non-conference matchup in East Hartford. UConn comes in riding high off a dramatic 37–34 home win over Duke, while Air Force kept its bowl hopes alive with a gritty road victory at San Jose State in their last game. UConn is favored by a touchdown and you can find my Air Force vs UConn prediction before this game kicks off.
UConn's Joe Fagnano continues to propel the UConn offense. He’s thrown more than 2,800 yards and 25 touchdowns this season with zero interceptions. Having avoided any interceptions this season is incredible, given Fagnano's passing volume.
Air Force's Liam Szarka is a dual-threat quarterback who is more dangerous with his legs than he is with his arm. He’s thrown for over 1,200 yards and has more than 900 rushing yards and 13 rushing touchdowns. His operation of the option offense for Air Force will be the key to his team's success in this matchup.
ATS trends: UConn has gone 5-4-1 against the spread so far this season. Air Force is 4–5 against the spread in 2025.
Over/Under trends: UConn has gone over the total in 7 of their first 10 games. Air Force has gone over the total in 6 of their first 9 outings.
Head-to-Head: There is no prior series history. This is the first-ever meeting between UConn and Air Force in college football.
UConn should win this game at home to continue what has been a very positive season for the Huskies. But my best bet for this game is the under. We should see Air Force run the football early and often to keep the clock moving and supress the scoring output on both sides.
Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.
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