Kansas State Wildcats vs Oklahoma State Cowboys Prediction - 11/15/2025
Updated July 9, 2026
Kansas State hits the road this Saturday to take on a floundering Oklahoma State team in a Big 12 matchup from Stillwater. The Wildcats (4–5, 3–3 Big 12) are pushing for bowl eligibility late in the regular season, while the Cowboys (1–8, 0–6 Big 12) are trying to build toward next year with an interim head coach leading them. Before kickoff from Oklahoma, you can get my Kansas State vs Oklahoma State prediction below
This game is a must-win for Kansas State as they try to move closer to bowl eligibility. The Wildcats are 4-5 on the season and they need two wins in three games to reach bowl season. The Wildcats can’t afford a slip against a team that’s struggled mightily all season long. The Cowboys fired long-time head coach Mike Gundy earlier this season, leaving them in limbo under interim leadership. They continue to be one of the worst defensive teams in a Power Five conference this year.
K-State’s offense isn’t elite, but it’s efficient enough to capitalize on a porous Oklahoma State defense. The Cowboys’ offense has lacked consistency and firepower. Even at home, the lack of quality quarterback play for the Cowboys has left them without many answers when they are in possession of the football.
Kansas State quarterback Avery Johnson is having a solid season. He has thrown for 1,991 yards with 16 touchdowns and just 4 interceptions. He is efficient, especially when compared to the options available to Oklahoma State.
Oklahoma State quarterback Zane Flores has struggled this season. He has under 1,000 passing yards with only 2 touchdowns and 3 interceptions. He is completing under 60% of his pass attempts for the year. The lack of high-end production from Flores limits the Cowboys’ ceiling on the offensive side of the ball.
Score Projection: Kansas State 35 – Oklahoma State 14
Win Probability: Kansas State 90%, Oklahoma State 10%
Oklahoma State has been the worst power conference team in college football this season and I'm not sure it's all that close. I will gladly fade the Cowboys again this week, laying the points with K-State on the road. The Wildcats should do more than enough offensively with Avery Johnson to create separation in this matchup, keeping the bowl hopes of the Cowboys alive going into their final two games of the regular season.
Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.
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