UNLV vs Boise State Pick & Prediction - 10/18/2025
Updated July 9, 2026
The game of the week in the Mountain West Conference this week will take place between UNLV and Boise State in Idaho. UNLV enters this game a perfect 6-0 on the season after barely escaping Air Force last week. They will have their hands full again on the blue turf in Boise this week. For a full breakdown of this matchup, including my UNLV vs Boise State prediction, continue reading below.
Odds | Line |
|---|---|
Spread | Boise State –12.5 |
Moneyline | Boise State –500 / UNLV +360 |
Total | 60.5 |
UNLV's Anthony Colandrea has thrown for 1,403 yards with 10 touchdowns and three interceptions. In their latest shootout against Air Force, he threw for 361 yards and added two rushing touchdowns, including a game-winner in the final minute. His rapport with receivers like Daejon Reynolds and Jaden Bradley gives UNLV an explosive offense through the air.
Boise State quarterback Maddux Madsen has passed for over 1,500 yards this season with 11 touchdowns and five interceptions. Madsen has stepped up nicely this year without Ashton Jeanty to rely on in the running game. We could see the biggest game of the season from Madsen against a UNLV defense that gave up 48 points last week.
Score Projection: Boise State 41 – UNLV 27
Win Probability: Boise State 65% / UNLV 35%
UNLV has plenty of offensive firepower, but their defense is a liability going into a game like this one. I will lay the big number with Boise State here, as they should get enough stops to win this game by two touchdowns or so.
Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.
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